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arxiv:2511.01540

Distributionally robust expected shortfall for convex risks

Published on Nov 3, 2025
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Abstract

The study provides an intuitive representation of the λc-transform for convex and piecewise linear payoff functions under quadratic cost in optimal transport, applied to robust expected shortfall calculations for financial derivatives.

We study distributionally robust expected values under optimal transport distance with a quadratic cost function. In general the duality method, for this computation for the payoff function f, requires the computation of the λc-transform f^{λc}. We show that under the quadratic cost function there exists an intuitive and easily implementable representation of f^{λc}, if f is convex and piecewise linear. We apply this to the robust expected shortfall under the risk-neutral measure of an unhedged call option, from the point of view of the writer, as well as that of a portfolio mixing underlying shares with a call and a put option.

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